‹ Scottish Premiership · Matchday 9
Celtic 1stWLWWW
7–1
UK time (GMT)
Full time
Heart of Midlothian 3rdWDLWW

Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Celtic to win: 59%, about 3 in 5

Celtic59%Bookies 62
Draw20%Bookies 19
Heart of Midlothian21%Bookies 19

Goals call3+ goals 66% · bookies 65% · ✓ 8 goals

✓ Favourite won (Celtic 59%) Ledger record ↗

In short

Celtic are favourites at 59%, with Heart of Midlothian on 21% and the draw on 20%. Celtic are 1st and Heart of Midlothian 3rd in the Scottish Premiership. In their last five league games, Celtic won four and Heart of Midlothian three.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Celtic win or draw
79%
Either team wins (no draw)
80%
Heart of Midlothian win or draw
41%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
66%
4+ goals
44%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
63%
No
37%

We expect about 2.2 goals from Celtic and 1.2 from Heart of Midlothian. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 1–0 (7%), 3–1 (7%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history
#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 62%19%19%Stats preview#30
2 58%21%21%Updated news and prices#85
3 59%20%21%Official lineups#121

Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Celtic: last 6

LWLLWW · 7 scored, 9 conceded

15 Octat Benfica UEFA Europa League1–4L
11 Octat Motherwell2–0W
20 Sepvs Rangers0–1L
17 Sepvs Ferencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League1–3L
9 Sepat ST Johnstone1–0W
5 Sepat ST Mirren2–1W

Last 5 at home: LLWWW

Heart of Midlothian: last 6

DWDLWW · 13 scored, 6 conceded

15 Octvs FC Nordsjaelland UEFA Europa Conference League1–1D
10 Octvs ST Mirren5–0W
19 Sepat Kilmarnock1–1D
15 Sepat Falkirk1–2L
6 Sepvs Dundee2–1W
3 Sepat Hibernian3–1W

Last 5 away: DLWDL

Season stats

CelticHeart of Midlothian
2.00Goals scored per game2.38
0.50Goals conceded per game1.00
1.50Scored per game at home3.25
2.50Scored per game away1.50
50%Matches over 2.5 goals88%
38%Both teams scored75%
50%Clean sheets25%
12%Failed to score0%

League matches only, 8 games each.

Scottish Premiership table

#TeamPldGoal diff.PointsLeague form
1Celtic10+1927WWWLW
2Rangers10+1023WDWWW
3Heart of Midlothian10+719WLWDL
4Dundee Utd10+015WDWWD
5Dundee10+214LDWWL
6ST Mirren10-713WLLLL

Full Scottish Premiership table

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings: Celtic won 3, Heart of Midlothian 2, 1 draw; 3.8 goals per game.

DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
16 May 2026Celtic3–1Heart of MidlothianPremiership
25 Jan 2026Heart of Midlothian2–2CelticPremiership
7 Dec 2025Celtic1–2Heart of MidlothianPremiership
26 Oct 2025Heart of Midlothian3–1CelticPremiership
29 Mar 2025Celtic3–0Heart of MidlothianPremiership
23 Nov 2024Heart of Midlothian1–4CelticPremiership

Match context

Travel for Heart of Midlothian
66 km
Rest days
Celtic 2Heart of Midlothian 2
Matches in the last 14 days: Celtic 2 · Heart of Midlothian 2
Weather at kick-off
8°C · wind 2 km/h
Dry
Goals in this league
Scottish Premiership average: 2.66 per match

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

Related