Dunfermline vs Partick prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Partick 38%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 52% · bookies 52% · ✓ 2 goals
In short
Partick are slight favourites at 38%, with Dunfermline on 32% and the draw on 30%. Dunfermline are 6th and Partick 3rd in the Scottish Championship. In their last five league games, Dunfermline won two and Partick three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Dunfermline win or draw
- 62%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Partick win or draw
- 68%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 73%
- 3+ goals
- 48%
- 4+ goals
- 26%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Dunfermline and 1.4 from Partick. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 29% | 38% | Stats preview | #294 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Dunfermline: last 6
DDWWDW · 6 scored, 2 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Livingston | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Ayr Utd | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Morton | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Queen's Park | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | at Arbroath | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs Raith Rovers | 1–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: DWWD
Partick: last 6
WWWDLW · 7 scored, 2 conceded
| 16 Oct | at Ayr Utd | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Livingston | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Arbroath | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Raith Rovers | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | at Stenhousemuir | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Ayr Utd | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: WWLDW
Season stats
| Dunfermline | Partick | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Goals scored per game | 1.10 |
| 0.56 | Goals conceded per game | 0.30 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.20 |
| 0.60 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 0% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 20% |
| 33% | Both teams scored | 20% |
| 56% | Clean sheets | 70% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 30% |
League matches only, 9 and 10 games.
Scottish Championship table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | +11 | 25 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | +5 | 23 | LDLWW |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 12 | +7 | 21 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | +5 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | +3 | 18 | WDDDW |
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | +4 | 17 | WDLLW |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | -2 | 12 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Arbroath | 12 | -11 | 11 | LLLLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Dunfermline won 0, Partick 4, 2 draws; 2.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May 2026 | Partick | 2–1 | Dunfermline | Premiership |
| 12 May 2026 | Dunfermline | 1–1 | Partick | Premiership |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Partick | 2–0 | Dunfermline | Championship |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Dunfermline | 2–2 | Partick | Championship |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Partick | 1–0 | Dunfermline | Championship |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Dunfermline | 0–2 | Partick | Championship |
Match context
- Rest days
- Dunfermline 3Partick 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Dunfermline 2 · Partick 2
- Referee
- P. Stuart
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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