Stockport County vs Bromley prediction
League One · Matchday 11 · Edgeley Park, Stockport, Greater Manchester
Who wins? (1X2)
Bookmakers agree to within a point on all three outcomes. (Odds with their margin removed.)
Fans · 0 votes
Fans’ picks appear after 5 votes. Voting closes at kick-off. Fans’ opinion, not a scientific poll.
In short
Third-placed Stockport County host struggling Bromley at Edgeley Park. Stockport are in strong form with striker Kyle Wootton in good scoring rhythm, while Bromley sit 21st with the league's worst goal difference and a fragile defence. The market and our model largely agree on a clear home edge.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Stockport County win or draw
- 89%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 85%
- Bromley win or draw
- 26%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 88%
- 3+ goals
- 71%
- 4+ goals
- 51%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 2.8 goals from Stockport County and 0.9 from Bromley. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
Lineups Expected
Goalkeeper
- Whatmuff
Defenders
- Gordon
- Pye
Midfielders
- Glover
- Bate
- Norwood
- Osborn
Forwards
- Diamond
- Wootton
- Wood
Others
- O'Connell
Goalkeeper
- Mason
Defenders
- Ifill
- Sowunmi
- Grant
- Mendy
Midfielders
- Conteh
- Saville
- McKiernan
- Pinnock
Forwards
- Jones
- Cheek
Expected from team news sources; “?” = sources disagree. Confirmed lineups with shirt numbers replace this about an hour before kick-off.
Injuries and suspensions
Key facts
- Stockport are 3rd in League One with 16 points from 9 games; Bromley are 21st with 8 points from 8 games.[1][3][4]
- Stockport have won three of their last five league games, most recently beating Barnsley 3-1 on 10 October.[2][3][4]
- Bromley have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five, including a 1-2 loss at Mansfield Town on 10 October.[3][5]
- Kyle Wootton has scored 7 goals in 9 league games for Stockport this season.[4]
- JJ McKiernan has scored in three consecutive games for Bromley since joining from Lincoln City.[4][8]
- Bromley have a game in hand on the teams around them in the relegation battle.[4][8]
- Stockport usually set up in a 3-4-3 shape, with Norwood on penalty duties.[2]
Still unclear
- Whether Harry Wood plays - expected to miss out after substitution vs Barnsley, but included in one predicted XI
- Whether Bromley make changes after five attacking subs vs Mansfield
Sources
- leaguespy.com – Stockport County vs Bromley Preview: Injuries and Suspension ... (2026-10-17)
- starting11.com – Stockport County lineup today vs Bromley: Starting 11 (2026-10-17)
- ontourfootball.com – Stockport County vs Bromley: Preview, Team News & Kick-off ... (2026-10-17)
- sportsmole.co.uk – Preview: Stockport County vs Bromley - prediction, team news ... (2026-10-17)
- footballpark.com – Stockport County vs Bromley: Lineups, Predictions & Betting ... (2026-10-17)
- stockport.nub.news – Stockport County charged by FA following pitch invasion (2026-10-17)
- manchestereveningnews.co.uk – The town where kids are ditching City and United (2026-10-17)
- footballclubforums.com – Bromley - Football Club Forums (2026-10-17)
Off the pitch
- Stockport have been charged by the FA over a pitch invasion after their play-off win in May 2026; the club has acknowledged the charge and will engage with the process.[6]
- Bromley manager Andy Woodman described his side as 'not quite good enough in the final third' after the Mansfield defeat, with the club in the relegation zone.[8]
Match context
- Stadium
- Edgeley Park, Stockport, Greater Manchester
- 10,852 seats · grass
- Travel for Bromley
- 267 km
- Rest days
- Stockport County 7Bromley 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Stockport County 2 · Bromley 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 12°C · wind 14 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- D. Challinor
- Stockport County, 5 years in charge
- A. Woodman
- Bromley, 6 years in charge
- Goals in this league
- League One average: 2.87 per match
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Stockport County: last 6
WWWDLW · 13 scored, 5 conceded
| 10 Oct | vs Barnsley | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | at Shrewsbury EFL Trophy | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Peterborough | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Sheffield Wednesday | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Leicester | 3–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | at Wigan | 4–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWLWL
Bromley: last 6
LLLWDL · 5 scored, 12 conceded
| 10 Oct | at Mansfield Town | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Oct | at Crawley Town EFL Trophy | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Brentford U21 EFL Trophy | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Huddersfield | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Blackpool | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Sep | vs AFC Wimbledon | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 away: LLDLW
Season stats
| Stockport County | Bromley | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | Goals scored per game | 1.10 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded per game | 2.50 |
| 2.60 | Scored per game at home | 0.80 |
| 1.80 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 56% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 22% | Failed to score | 25% |
| 1.00 | Yellow cards per game | 2.00 |
League matches only, 9 and 8 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Stockport County | Bromley |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League One table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 10 | +6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Bradford | 9 | +3 | 17 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Stockport County | 9 | +9 | 16 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 9 | +7 | 16 | DWLDD |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 9 | +3 | 16 | WDDWD |
| 6 | Reading | 9 | +11 | 15 | WDDWL |
| … | |||||
| 18 | Blackpool | 8 | -1 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | -7 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 20 | Peterborough | 9 | -7 | 8 | WLLDL |
| 21 | Bromley | 8 | -11 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | -3 | 7 | LLLDD |
| 23 | Milton Keynes Dons | 8 | -6 | 6 | LDDDL |
| 24 | Wigan | 8 | -8 | 4 | LLDLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Stockport County won 3, Bromley 0, 3 draws; 2.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2022 | Bromley | 1–3 | Stockport County | National League |
| 13 Nov 2021 | Stockport County | 1–1 | Bromley | National League |
| 5 Apr 2021 | Stockport County | 0–0 | Bromley | National League |
| 5 Dec 2020 | Bromley | 0–2 | Stockport County | National League |
| 15 Feb 2020 | Stockport County | 1–0 | Bromley | National League |
| 29 Oct 2019 | Bromley | 2–2 | Stockport County | National League |
Published 17 Oct 2026, 08:04 UTC · Updated 17 Oct 2026, 09:31 UTC
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 4+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 75% | 15% | 10% | 51% |
| Goals model | 77% | 14% | 9% | 58% |
| AI experts | 74% | 15% | 11% | 55% |
| Our forecast | 74% | 15% | 11% | 51% |
- Squad & availability: Stockport's absences are marginal to their first-choice structure, while Bromley are fully available and regain Hondermarck, so availability slightly tempers the home edge. Bromley's real problem is defensive quality, not personnel.
- Form, tactics & morale: Stockport's form, table position and unbeaten head-to-head record support a strong home lean, trimmed slightly for Wood's likely absence. Bromley's leaky defence against an in-form Wootton points to a high-scoring match.
- Market sceptic: The market already prices the gulf in class, so we stay close to it with a small home lean. On totals, Bromley's 20 goals conceded and Stockport's attacking form justify keeping over 3.5 near the model rather than the market.
Verdict: Our probabilities stay close to the market because the gap in form, table position and defensive record already justifies the home favourite status. The only meaningful adjustment is a small shift toward the draw and away, reflecting Bromley's full availability and McKiernan's scoring streak.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published (UK time) | Home | Draw | Away | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 Oct 09:04 | 74% | 15% | 11% | First analysis |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger.
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
