Plymouth Argyle vs Huddersfield Town prediction
League One · Matchday 11 · Home Park, Plymouth
Who wins? (1X2)
Bookmakers agree to within two points on all three outcomes. (Odds with their margin removed.)
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In short
Top-of-the-table League One meeting: leaders Plymouth Argyle host fourth-placed Huddersfield Town. Huddersfield travel with a heavily depleted defence - both first-choice centre-backs sidelined - while Plymouth regain three defenders but may rotate in a busy week. A Huddersfield win would move them level with or above Argyle.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Plymouth Argyle win or draw
- 66%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Huddersfield Town win or draw
- 61%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 59%
- 4+ goals
- 37%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Plymouth Argyle and 1.4 from Huddersfield Town. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 1–0 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
Lineups Expected
Defenders
- Sorinola
- Ross
- Mitchell
- Hartridge
Midfielders
- Curtis
- Ibrahim
- White
- Irow
Forwards
- Evans
- Watts
Others
- Cooper
Goalkeeper
- Young
Defenders
- Balker
- Wallace
- Bowat
Midfielders
- Bronkhorst
- Collins
- Humphreys
- Mumba
Forwards
- Sanches Fernandes
- Radulovic
- Taylor
Expected from team news sources; “?” = sources disagree. Confirmed lineups with shirt numbers replace this about an hour before kick-off.
Injuries and suspensions
| Player | Team | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murray Wallace | Huddersfield Town | Out | [1][8] |
| Radinio Balker | Huddersfield Town | Out | [1][8] |
| Ryan Ledson | Huddersfield Town | Out | [1][8] |
| David Kasumu | Huddersfield Town | Out | [1][8] |
| Marcus McGuane | Huddersfield Town | Out | [3][8] |
| Jack Whatmough | Huddersfield Town | Out | [1][8] |
| Herbie Kane | Huddersfield Town | Out | [1] |
| Derensili Sanches Fernandes | Huddersfield Town | Doubt | [8] |
| Malachi Boateng | Plymouth Argyle | Out | [1][2] |
| Michael Baidoo | Plymouth Argyle | Out | [1][2] |
| Owen Oseni | Plymouth Argyle | Out | [1][2] |
| Joe Mwaro | Plymouth Argyle | Out | [2] |
| Bim Pepple | Plymouth Argyle | Doubt | [2] |
| Joe Edwards | Plymouth Argyle | Doubt | [2] |
| Julio Pleguezuelo | Plymouth Argyle | Returning | [2] |
| Alex Hartridge | Plymouth Argyle | Returning | [2] |
| Jack MacKenzie | Plymouth Argyle | Returning | [2] |
Key facts
- Leaders Plymouth Argyle host fourth-placed Huddersfield Town in a top-of-the-table League One meeting at Home Park.[1][3]
- Plymouth have 19 points from 10 games and have won five of their last six league matches.[1][3]
- Huddersfield have 16 points from nine games, hold a game in hand, and have lost only once in the league.[3]
- Huddersfield are missing both first-choice centre-backs and up to seven players in total, leaving a reshuffled defence.[1][3]
- Plymouth get defensive reinforcements with Pleguezuelo, Hartridge and MacKenzie all available again, though Pepple and Edwards may be managed.[2]
- Joe Taylor has six goals in eight league appearances and Sanches Fernandes has four goals with a league-high 21 chances created for Huddersfield.[3][5]
- Huddersfield face a demanding stretch with Plymouth, Peterborough, Wigan and Bradford all inside eight days.[8]
- Plymouth's defence has been relatively leaky for a top-half side, with 12 goals conceded in the league.[3]
Still unclear
- Whether Bim Pepple starts or is managed to 60-70 minutes off the bench
- Whether Joe Edwards is risked Saturday or held for Tuesday
- Fitness of Derensili Sanches Fernandes given recurring knee issue
- How Huddersfield's makeshift back line is reshuffled without Wallace and Balker
Sources
- footballleagueworld.co.uk – The 11 players set to miss Plymouth Argyle vs Huddersfield ... (2026-10-17)
- plymouthherald.co.uk – Plymouth Argyle injury latest with Bim Pepple, Joe Edwards ... (2026-10-17)
- sportsmole.co.uk – Preview: Plymouth Argyle vs Huddersfield Town - prediction ... (2026-10-17)
- statshub.com – Plymouth Argyle vs Huddersfield Town Live Stats, Lineups ... (2026-10-17)
- the72.co.uk – Plymouth Argyle vs Huddersfield Town predictions: The72 (2026-10-17)
- newsnow.co.uk – Plymouth Argyle FC News | Latest Transfer News - NewsNow (2026-10-17)
- examinerlive.co.uk – 'Hopefully won't happen again' verdict after Huddersfield ... (2026-10-17)
- footballclubforums.com – Huddersfield Town - Football Club Forums (2026-10-17)
Off the pitch
- Ryan Ledson has been charged by the FA over insulting or abusive words towards an official after the Sheffield Wednesday draw.[1]
Match context
- Stadium
- Home Park, Plymouth
- 19,500 seats · grass
- Travel for Huddersfield Town
- 398 km
- Rest days
- Plymouth Argyle 7Huddersfield Town 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Plymouth Argyle 2 · Huddersfield Town 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 15°C · wind 10 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- K. Nancekivell
- Plymouth Argyle, 7 years in charge
- J. Worthington
- Huddersfield Town, 19 months in charge
- Goals in this league
- League One average: 2.87 per match
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Plymouth Argyle: last 6
WDWLWW · 15 scored, 7 conceded
| 10 Oct | vs AFC Wimbledon | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | at Newport County EFL Trophy | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | at Leyton Orient | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Burton Albion | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Crystal Palace U21 EFL Trophy | 5–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Blackpool | 4–2 | W |
Last 5 at home: WLWWW
Huddersfield Town: last 6
DWWLDW · 14 scored, 6 conceded
| 10 Oct | vs Sheffield Wednesday | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Oct | vs Rochdale EFL Trophy | 5–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Burton Albion | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Bromley | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Mansfield Town | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Sep | at Doncaster EFL Trophy | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 away: WLDWW
Season stats
| Plymouth Argyle | Huddersfield Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | Goals scored per game | 1.80 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game at home | 2.30 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 1.40 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 78% |
| 30% | Clean sheets | 22% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 11% |
| 1.50 | Yellow cards per game | 1.22 |
League matches only, 10 and 9 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Plymouth Argyle | Huddersfield Town |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League One table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Argyle | 10 | +6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Bradford | 9 | +3 | 17 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Stockport County | 9 | +9 | 16 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Huddersfield Town | 9 | +7 | 16 | DWLDD |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 9 | +3 | 16 | WDDWD |
| 6 | Reading | 9 | +11 | 15 | WDDWL |
| 7 | Oxford United | 8 | +7 | 15 | DWDWW |
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Plymouth Argyle won 3, Huddersfield Town 1, 1 draw; 3.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Plymouth Argyle | 3–1 | Huddersfield Town | League One |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Huddersfield Town | 3–1 | Plymouth Argyle | League One |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Huddersfield Town | 1–1 | Plymouth Argyle | Championship |
| 5 Aug 2023 | Plymouth Argyle | 3–1 | Huddersfield Town | Championship |
| 9 Jan 2021 | Huddersfield Town | 2–3 | Plymouth Argyle | FA Cup |
Published 17 Oct 2026, 08:04 UTC · Updated 17 Oct 2026, 09:16 UTC
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 37% | 27% | 36% | 58% |
| Goals model | 41% | 27% | 32% | 54% |
| AI experts | 44% | 26% | 29% | 57% |
| Our forecast | 39% | 26% | 34% | 59% |
- Squad & availability: Huddersfield's availability crisis - both first-choice centre-backs out plus several other absentees - is the biggest factor the statistical model misses, against a direct, top-of-table home attack. Plymouth, by contrast, regain three defenders, so we shift probability from away to home.
- Form, tactics & morale: A reshuffled Huddersfield back line facing the league's most direct attack points to chances at both ends, especially with Plymouth conceding more than most leaders. Huddersfield's attacking quality keeps away and draw scenarios live.
- Market sceptic: The near coin-flip pricing may barely reflect the confirmed absence of both Huddersfield centre-backs, so we lean slightly home while respecting Huddersfield's unbeaten-away quality; the over stays near the market, marginally above the model.
Verdict: Our probabilities stay close to the market with a slight home lean: Huddersfield's confirmed defensive absences are concrete but are partly offset by the visitors' attacking quality and a strong unbeaten run in form terms, while Plymouth's rotation needs add uncertainty.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published (UK time) | Home | Draw | Away | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 Oct 09:04 | 39% | 26% | 34% | First analysis |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger.
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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