Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United prediction

Fleetwood Town 16th in League TwoDWLLL

0–0

Sat 17 Oct · UK time

Live

Rotherham United 20th in League TwoLLLDD

League Two · Matchday 11 · Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire

Who wins? (1X2)

46%26%28%

Bookmakers agree to within a point on all three outcomes. (Odds with their margin removed.)

Voting closed at kick-off. Fans’ opinion, not a scientific poll.

In short

Two mid-table sides meet at Highbury Stadium with only a point between them. Rotherham arrive on three straight defeats, including heavy home losses, while Fleetwood are unbeaten in two. Fleetwood have also won the last three meetings between the clubs.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Fleetwood Town win or draw: 72%
Either team wins (no draw): 74%
Rotherham United win or draw: 54%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals: 76%
3+ goals: 52%
4+ goals: 30%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes: 54%
No: 46%

We expect about 1.6 goals from Fleetwood Town and 1.1 from Rotherham United. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 0–1 (7%).

Lineups Confirmed

Fleetwood Town3-1-4-2

Goalkeeper

1J. Lynch

Defenders

26S. Rooney
6R. Bennett
5F. Potter

Midfielders

4H. Neal
14L. McCann
15A. Murphy
10M. Helm
24Jake Thomas Batty

Forwards

17C. Evans
19R. Coughlan

Substitutes (7)

9W. Davies
20A. Loupalo-Bi
22J. Pradic
28J. Robertson
29R. Cirino
16Conor Haughey
27C. McLean

Rotherham United3-4-1-2

Goalkeeper

13J. Eyestone

Defenders

27D. Iorfa
14Sonny Aljofree
26H. Douglas

Midfielders

12D. Hall
22Jamie Jellis
28Brandon Ashley Cover
24J. Buyabu
4J. Austerfield

Forwards

9T. Bradshaw
10P. Mullin

Substitutes (7)

8K. Spence
2J. Rafferty
5K. Ngwenya
23A. Nemane
20K. Lolas
15Jayce Fitzgerald
1T. Cann

Official team sheets, updated 12:36 UK time.

Injuries and suspensions

No confirmed absences reported.

Key facts

Fleetwood sit 16th in League Two with 11 points from 10 games, one point and four places above Rotherham.[2][3]
Rotherham have lost three matches in a row, conceding heavily at home to Gillingham and Bradford.[3][4]
Fleetwood are unbeaten in their last two matches, drawing with Walsall and beating Barnsley 4-1 in the EFL Trophy.[2][3]
Rotherham's most-used setup is a 4-2-3-1, with Mullin leading the line and two successful penalties this season.[1]
Coughlan leads Fleetwood's scoring with three goals, supported by Ched Evans.[2]
Rotherham's last league win came on 19 September at Northampton.[1]
The match is played at Highbury Stadium with a Saturday 13:30 local kick-off.[2]

Still unclear

No injury/suspension lists published for either side in the sources; Rotherham team news pending Alex Bruce's pre-match presser
Whether Rotherham make changes after the 4-0 and 4-1 defeats (e.g. Iorfa, Ngwenya, Eyestone vs the most-used XI)

Sources

starting11.com – Rotherham Starting 11 - Predicted Lineup Today & Squad Selector (2026-10-17)
sportsgambler.com – Fleetwood vs Rotherham Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups ... (2026-10-17)
footballpark.com – Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham: Lineups, Predictions & Betting ... (2026-10-17)
rotherhamfcnews.co.uk – Rotherham News, Fixtures & League Two Table (2026-10-17)
ruct.co.uk – News - Rotherham United Community Trust (2026-10-17)

Match context

Stadium: Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire; 5,327 seats · grass
Travel for Rotherham United: 122 km
Rest days: Fleetwood Town 6Rotherham United 6; Matches in the last 14 days: Fleetwood Town 3 · Rotherham United 3
Weather at kick-off: 10°C · wind 17 km/h; Dry
Coaches: P. Wild; Fleetwood Town, 22 months in charge; M. Hamshaw; Rotherham United, 19 months in charge
Goals in this league: League Two average: 2.48 per match

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Fleetwood Town: last 6

DWLLLL · 7 scored, 9 conceded

10 Oct	vs Walsall	1–1	D
6 Oct	vs Barnsley EFL Trophy	4–1	W
3 Oct	at Salford City	0–1	L
26 Sep	vs Rochdale	1–2	L
22 Sep	at Oldham EFL Trophy	0–1	L
19 Sep	at Barnet	1–3	L

Last 5 at home: DWLWW

Rotherham United: last 6

LLLDDW · 4 scored, 11 conceded

10 Oct	vs Gillingham	1–4	L
6 Oct	vs Bradford EFL Trophy	0–4	L
3 Oct	at Exeter City	0–1	L
26 Sep	vs Crewe	1–1	D
22 Sep	at York EFL Trophy	1–1	D
19 Sep	at Northampton	1–0	W

Last 5 away: LDWLD

Season stats

Fleetwood Town		Rotherham United
1.00	Goals scored per game	1.20
1.10	Goals conceded per game	1.60
1.00	Scored per game at home	1.60
1.00	Scored per game away	0.80
30%	Matches over 2.5 goals	50%
60%	Both teams scored	70%
30%	Clean sheets	10%
20%	Failed to score	20%
2.50	Yellow cards per game	2.00

League matches only, 10 games each.

When goals come

Goals scored this season by 15-minute period.
Minutes	Fleetwood Town	Rotherham United
0–15 min	1	1
16–30 min	1	3
31–45 min	3	3
46–60 min	0	1
61–75 min	3	2
76–90 min	2	3

League Two table

#	Team	Pld	Goal diff.	Points	Form
13	Tranmere	10	+0	12	DLDDL
14	Exeter City	10	+0	12	WWLDL
15	Accrington ST	10	-1	11	DWDDL
16	Fleetwood Town	10	-1	11	DLLLD
17	Swindon Town	10	-5	11	LLDLL
18	Shrewsbury	10	-6	11	LWDDW
19	Colchester	9	-3	10	LDDDL
20	Rotherham United	10	-4	10	LLDWD
21	Oldham	9	-4	8	DLLLL
22	Port Vale	8	-5	8	WLWLL
23	Northampton	8	-3	7	DLLWD

Full League Two table · Predicted final table

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings: Fleetwood Town won 3, Rotherham United 2, 1 draw; 3.0 goals per game.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
27 Aug 2024	Fleetwood Town	2–1	Rotherham United	League Cup
7 Jul 2022	Rotherham United	2–0	Fleetwood Town	Friendlies Clubs
7 Jul 2022	Fleetwood Town	0–2	Rotherham United	Friendlies Clubs
15 Jan 2022	Fleetwood Town	1–0	Rotherham United	League One
11 Sep 2021	Rotherham United	2–4	Fleetwood Town	League One
21 Dec 2019	Rotherham United	2–2	Fleetwood Town	League One

Published 17 Oct 2026, 05:34 UTC · Updated 17 Oct 2026, 10:53 UTC

How we got to these numbers

Home = Fleetwood Town win, Away = Rotherham United win.
	Home	Draw	Away	3+ goals
Bookmakers	45%	26%	29%	51%
Goals model	46%	29%	25%	44%
AI experts	47%	28%	25%	46%
Our forecast	46%	26%	28%	52%

Squad & availability: Fleetwood have no reported absences, while Rotherham's team news is still pending their coach's pre-match presser and changes are possible after heavy defeats. That uncertainty, plus a likely reshuffled Rotherham back line, is the main concrete edge for the home side.
Form, tactics & morale: Rotherham arrive on three straight defeats with a leaky defence, while Fleetwood are unbeaten in two and hold three straight head-to-head wins at this venue. Both attacks are modest, so the goals total stays near the model despite Rotherham's recent concessions.
Market sceptic: The market has already moved towards Fleetwood, consistent with Rotherham's slump. With no injury detail published and Rotherham's lineup unclear, we stay near the market rather than pushing the home side much further.

Verdict: Our probabilities stay close to the market: the form gap and H2H lean towards Fleetwood, but with no confirmed team news and Rotherham possibly changing personnel, we only shade a point from away to home.

Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology

Prediction history

#	Published (UK time)	Home	Draw	Away	Reason
1	17 Oct 06:34	43%	27%	30%	First analysis
2	17 Oct 11:53	46%	26%	28%	Official lineups

Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger.

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling